The White House says air travel chaos won’t end after shutdown is resolved. Warning of ‘massive’ problems if deal fails

The White House says air travel chaos won’t end after shutdown is resolved. Warning of ‘massive’ problems if deal fails

Aviation suffering in the US will continue This is despite a shutdown agreement almost being reached.

As the government shutdown enters its 43rd day, the House of Representatives has now won the Senate’s compromise agreement to reopen the government. With a series of ballots set to begin Wednesday night.

House Speaker Mike Johnson will need to poll a simple majority to ensure passage. which is expected to happen But experts and the government say air traffic cannot increase even if the deal is signed. And it may take some time to return to normal.

“What happens on Thanksgiving?” Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy asked incredulously during a news conference Tuesday at O’Hare International Airport in Chicago. But right now he’s worried about this coming weekend.

“This Friday, Saturday and Sunday. We will see more massive disruption if governments don’t open up. It will slow down severely,” Duffy warned.

People wait in line at security at O'Hare International Airport, Monday, Nov. 10, 2025, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Erin Hooley)
People wait in line at security at O’Hare International Airport on Nov. 10 in Chicago. (AP Photo/Erin Hooley) Related mass media

Follow the latest news about the government shutdown.

“We feel there will be significant problems in the airspace … there will be real disruption. I think it will be more than 10%,” he said about flight cancellations. When counting until Wednesday morning Nearly 900 flights were canceled, with 1,200 canceled on Tuesday. That’s double the number (2,400) on Monday.

So far, 5 million passengers have been affected by shutdown-related flight disruptions. And airline costs can be enormous.

Airlines for America (A4A), the leading trade group for airlines like Delta and American, said that once the FAA’s flight reduction orders reach 10%, the group estimates the average U.S. economic impact will be $285 million to $580 million per day. It depends on the degree to which airlines are able to re-accommodate passengers who experienced flight cancellations on remaining flights, the group said.

A4A said that estimate does not include ongoing staffing issues during the shutdown. or costs related to the value of the passenger’s time Reduced bookings and passenger refunds

Duffy said the industry is currently at 6% of airspace cancellations. When asked how long it would take to return to normal after reaching an agreement, He said that would depend on information such as “separation” issues between planes. Complaints from pilots about ATC communications and similar issues

“When the data changes we will go to 4%. [cancellations]Then another 2% and return to normal air travel,” he said.

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Photo: U.S. Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy. Held a press conference on the impact of the government shutdown on air travel. At LaGuardia Airport in the Queens borough of New York City, U.S., October 28, 2025. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/photo file
Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy holds a news conference on the impact of the government shutdown on air travel at LaGuardia Airport in Queens, New York, on Oct. 28. (Reuters/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo) Reuters / Reuters

This means it may take several days. or several weeks This is before the already strained airline industry returns to normal.

“Let’s not forget that we had a shortage of more than 3,500 air traffic controllers before the shutdown. And the severe staffing problems aren’t going to be resolved any time soon,” travel expert Peter Greenberg told Yahoo Finance, adding that “normal” is a relative term when it comes to air travel.

“But in the short term And let’s assume all current air traffic controllers return to work. It should take approximately 36 to 72 hours before airlines get their planes back in order and crews back on schedule,” he said.

Flights were canceled at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport in Virginia on Nov. 9 (mpi34/MediaPunch/IPX)
Flights were canceled at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport in Virginia on Nov. 9 (mpi34/MediaPunch/IPX) mpi34 / MediaPunch/MediaPunch/IPx

Greenberg predicts that in the best-case scenario, Let’s say the House vote takes place before Saturday and passes shortly after. The industry is also considering Tuesday or next Wednesday how things will turn out. It will slowly start to get better.

Other experts Still, tight security lines and painful flight disruptions are expected to enter the biggest travel week of the year.

“Although there is a shutdown agreement, But the reality is that air traffic officials are not reset overnight,” said Susan Morrow, CEO of InsureMyTrip, a company that sells travel insurance. “Thanksgiving week still sees long lines. Canceled flight and stressed travelers.”

Pras Subramanian is the Chief Transportation Reporter for Yahoo Finance. You can continue following him. X and so on Instagram

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